Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000965 0.001040 0.001119 0.001210 0.001312 0.001421 0.001549
2026-01-25 0.000990 0.001115 0.001255 0.001426 0.001630 0.001868 0.002170
2026-02-01 0.000874 0.001010 0.001169 0.001371 0.001622 0.001930 0.002343
2026-02-08 0.000793 0.000935 0.001106 0.001330 0.001619 0.001989 0.002507
2026-02-15 0.000739 0.000887 0.001069 0.001314 0.001642 0.002075 0.002711
2026-02-22 0.000687 0.000836 0.001023 0.001281 0.001635 0.002119 0.002856
2026-03-01 0.000635 0.000782 0.000969 0.001231 0.001600 0.002117 0.002932
2026-03-08 0.000602 0.000749 0.000940 0.001213 0.001606 0.002173 0.003097
2026-03-15 0.000569 0.000716 0.000909 0.001189 0.001600 0.002209 0.003232
2026-03-22 0.000526 0.000666 0.000852 0.001124 0.001530 0.002141 0.003191
2026-03-29 0.000500 0.000637 0.000822 0.001098 0.001515 0.002154 0.003285
2026-04-05 0.000489 0.000630 0.000822 0.001113 0.001563 0.002272 0.003570
2026-04-12 0.000470 0.000612 0.000809 0.001112 0.001593 0.002374 0.003866
2026-04-19 0.000507 0.000674 0.000914 0.001300 0.001944 0.003065 0.005418
2026-04-26 0.000475 0.000636 0.000870 0.001250 0.001897 0.003048 0.005546
2026-05-03 0.000449 0.000606 0.000835 0.001215 0.001870 0.003064 0.005746
2026-05-10 0.000431 0.000586 0.000816 0.001201 0.001880 0.003151 0.006123
2026-05-17 0.000410 0.000562 0.000788 0.001171 0.001858 0.003173 0.006353
2026-05-24 0.000388 0.000534 0.000752 0.001127 0.001807 0.003130 0.006413
2026-05-31 0.000373 0.000517 0.000734 0.001111 0.001806 0.003191 0.006753
2026-06-07 0.000359 0.000499 0.000714 0.001090 0.001793 0.003223 0.007024
2026-06-14 0.000337 0.000470 0.000674 0.001032 0.001707 0.003089 0.006812
2026-06-21 0.000324 0.000453 0.000653 0.001008 0.001685 0.003094 0.006997